基于函数系数自回归模型的风速时间序列预测

准确预测风电场风速是解决风能对电力系统所造成的安全、稳定运行和电能质量等问题的有效途径之一.风速的难以预测是由于它的高度随机和非线性.基于一种非参数的非线性自回归随机模型来预测风速,模型的自回归系数随模型依赖变量的变化而变化,因而它有灵活的非线性结构.数值实验和比较结果表明了这种函数系数自回归模型在风电场风速预测中的有效性.     

平面刚架弹塑性大位移分析的多刚体离散元法

本文基于多刚体－弹簧系统模型，给出了求解平面刚架结构弹塑性、大位移极限承载力分析的多刚体离散元法。文中首先推导了多刚体离散元法在总体坐标下的切线刚度阵，建立多刚体离散元法的增量平衡方程；而后推导了多刚体离散元的弹塑性弹簧系数矩阵，建立了多刚体离散元内力屈服面塑性铰法的增量求解格式，成功地进行了平面钢框架的弹塑性、大位移极限承载力分析。计算结果与其他数值方法或实验结果吻合良好，显示了多刚体离散元方法进行结构极限承载力分析这一复杂问题的优越性     

On the dynamic behaviour of a flexible beam carrying a moving mass

The behaviour of a system containing a mass traveling on a cantilever beam is considered. The mass is induced to move by an applied force as opposed to the case which has been considered in most literature where the position of the moving mass is assumed to be known and independent of the motion of the beam. Furthermore, the system to be discussed has the unique characteristic that the motions of the mass and the beam are coupled. The mathematical model of the system includes two coupled nonlinear integral/partial differential equations which are impossible to solve analytically and are difficult to solve numerically in their original form. As a remedy, the solution is discretized into space and time functions and the equations of motion are reduced to a set of ordinary differential equations. The shape function is chosen so that it satisfies the boundary conditions of the beam as well as the transient conditions imposed by the traveling mass. This choice of the shape function, which considers the mass-beam interaction, provides an improvement over the conventional method of using a simple cantilever beam mode shapes.The ordinary differential equations of motion using the improved shaped functions, are solved numerically to obtain the dynamic behaviour of the system. The results illustrate the validity of the model, and demonstrate the advantages of the improved model to the un-improved equations.     

Motion of a system of seismic sources over ice on a body of water under the action of a pulse

The vertical motion of a system of two identical seismic sources and a spring truck tractor on ice under the action of a shock pulse from the seismic sources is studied to estimate the strength of ice. It is shown that during the pulse time, the interaction of the masses of the seismic sources and the tractor is small and the compressibility effect of the liquid can be ignored. Calculations show that for the seismic sources, the dynamic load far exceeds the static load and for the tractor, the static load is maximal. __________ Translated from Prikladnaya Mekhanika i Tekhnicheskaya Fizika, Vol. 48, No. 2, pp. 147–155, March–April, 2007.     

本征正交分解技术在屋盖风压场重建与预测中的应用

给出利用本征正交分解(POD)对屋盖风压场进行重建和预测的研究结果.对一个双坡屋盖用同步多点压力扫描系统进行了风洞试验,根据POD技术采用前若干阶本征模态重建屋盖风压场.采用两种方案预测未布置测压点位置的风压时间序列.第一种方案中利用插值技术获得没有测压点位置的本征模态值.第二种方案对参考屋盖和需预测的新屋盖分别进行试验,结合由参考屋盖试验萃取的本征模态和由新屋盖试验的风压数据计算的主坐标,预测出新屋盖未知区域的风压时间序列.文中对风压场重建和预测的效果作了分析,而且比较了根据测量的风压数据和预测的风压数据所计算的屋盖风致响应.     

高耸异型烟囱结构风压和风振系数试验研究

本文在模拟的大气边界层中,对某一发电厂高耸异型烟囱的刚性模型进行了测压试验研究,得到了这一结构的平均风压系数、最大和最小风压系数分布,以及该结构的风荷载体型系数;结果表明在烟囱外形明显变化的局部区域,风压绝对值较大,与理论分析一致。同时,对动态测力试验模型进行了高频动态天平测力试验研究,详细介绍了试验及数据处理方法,根据试验结果计算得到了该烟囱在风作用下的动力响应和风振系数;根据试验结果计算所得的风振系数值大于按规范公式估算值。这些结果不仅为结构的风荷载计算提供了依据,也有助于进一步认识该类异性烟囱结构的风荷载和风振特性。     

爆炸载荷作用下地下拱形结构动态分析

应用有限元方法分析了爆炸载荷作用下地下拱形结构与土介质的动力相互作用问题。结构与介质均假定为弹塑性，并用Ｍｉｓｅｓ屈服准则描述，且考虑其几何非线性的影响。使用了人为阻尼边界，并使计算模型的几何尺寸满足限制性条件，从而大大提高了计算精度。还对几种解进行了比较，对影响结构应力场的因素也进行了讨论。     

弹性抗滑桩锚固段内力计算的反力荷载法

传统的抗滑桩锚固段内力计算是将锚固段视为Winkler弹性地基梁,以幂级数解法为基础,采用地基系数“m”法或“K”法,通过查表得到桩身内力,计算过程较为繁琐,且受表中各系数的截断误差的影响,常使内力计算结果存在一些偏差。以地基系数“m(K)”法的有限差分法是一种较为理想的方法,但需通过迭代计算,且分段数较多。本文基于地基系数“m(K)”法推导了抗滑桩锚固段内力计算的反力荷载法计算公式,提出了计算精度控制方法;较之于有限差分法,本文方法无需迭代计算,具有分段数少的特点;编写了全桩内力计算和图形处理程序;计算实例表明,与传统方法相比,可有效提高抗滑桩内力分析效率和计算精度,有利于抗滑桩结构的优化设计。     

剪切弯曲下短深梁位移数值计算精度的研究

分析了短深梁位移的基本解，评述了有限元解法中关于高次分布力简化为节点力的问题。使用虚功原理和位移线性插值推导了满足二次分布力作用的精确节点力分配公式。通过矩形截面悬臂梁自由终端受集中载荷的算例，阐明了提高短深梁位移计算精度的途径。     

翼型与风洞侧壁交接角区分离流动研究

运用Navier-Stokes数值模拟对翼型模型试验时风洞侧壁和翼型模型结合部拐角区黏型分离流动进行模拟,并将简单代数湍流模型扩展用于机翼/风洞侧壁拐角区流动.计算格式在空间上采用中心有限体积离散,在时间上采用多步Runge-Kutta时间步长格式进行积分.结果显示,在翼型模型风洞试验时,模型/侧壁拐角区、模型表面、侧壁表面和模型后形成复杂的黏性分离流动和二次分离,对实验结果产生很大的影响.